Education Week has released its annual “Quality Counts” survey. This year, it introduces the brand-new “Chance for Success Index,” which seeks to rank states by the likelihood that the children of the state will succeed in life. Wisconsin came in 8th overall, but before you get all excited, let’s take a closer look.
The index grades states on thirteen factors. This group of selected measurements is as interesting for what is included as for what is not. Let’s go through them…
Family Income (percent of children from families with incomes at least 200% of poverty level).
Family income is a decent indicator of future success. Families with a good income tend to be more stable and provide a better learning environment for kids. I thought that the benchmark used in the index (200% of poverty level) was a bit arbitrary, but it’s hard to come up with a better one.
What’s missing is the cost of living. The federal poverty level for a family of four in 2006 was $20,000 per year in the 48 contiguous states. The problem with using a federal number for measuring between states is that the cost of living varies so much. $20,000 would go a long way in Mississippi, but would make a family in San Francisco destitute. Furthermore, the cost of living can vary drastically within the same state. It costs much more to live in New York City or Chicago than it does to live in rural New York or Illinois.
Wisconsin ranked 12th in this metric, but it doesn’t take into account how much of that family income actually makes it into the family’s pockets after taxes or how far those dollars stretch. For example, Wisconsin has a high tax burden, high fuel costs,


